It feels to me like we are gearing up for another 97/98 type El Niño event. I.E. a biggy.
An if history repeats itself it will engender a significant increase in climate scepticism
Why?
Global temperatures will peak well above the 1.5ºC threshold.
(See it wasn't that bad was it)
And global temperatures will settle down to average a little below the 1.5ºC threshold, sometimes a little above, sometimes below for about a decade.
(The sky didn't fall in and the temperatures have stabilised. Nothing more to see, move along.)
The other necessary ingredient for increased scepticism is that the media and some very vocal campaigning scientists disappear up their own hyperbole.
FWIW the accepted rate for global warming, both now and for the last 40 years, has been about 0.2ºC/Decade. But because of scale of El Niño / La Niña events it appears to jump up by around 0.2ºC with each big El Niño and then seem change very little until the next biggy comes along.
Anyway, if the sky doesn't fall in, it seems likely that we are only one further biggy away from exceeding the 1.5ºC threshold and staying there, and I doubt that there is much that could prevent that happening other than a major stratovolcanic event or two.
Last Edit: Aug 4, 2023 17:43:21 GMT 2 by slowcoach
Reality is one such lapse of imagination. ("Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius" J.L.Borges)
I'm betting that when Amazon flings its billion satellites into space to bring high-speed internet to every grain of sand and droplet of water on Earth, they will deflect so much sunlight from the planet's surface that we'll head into the next Ice Age.
And here’s me thinking you were referring to birds! You know, The Great Tit, Eurasian Blue Tit, Willow Tit , Crested Tit et al!
On a tree by a willow a little Tom-tit sang “Willow, Tit Willow, Tit Willow” I said to him “Birdie oh why do you sit Singing Willow, Tit Willow, Tit Willow? It is weakness of intellect Birdie?” I cried, ”Or maybe a pain in your little inside?” With a toss of his poor little head he replied, ”Willow, Tit Willow, Tit Willow.”
Gas mileage is fine, but keep in mind - the first question every car buyer asks themselves is “Will this car get me laid?”